The four-year period of fragile stability in northern Ethiopia has come to an abrupt halt with fighting erupting across three regions, including Tigray. This development marks the most significant escalation since a peace agreement was signed in 2022 to conclude the region’s civil war.
The Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) has allied with former rivals to form a new opposition coalition. According to fighters involved in the alliance, their primary objective is the removal of the government in Addis Ababa.
Tensions have been simmering for some time, with both the federal government and the TPLF accusing one another of violating the terms of the 2022 deal. Several commitments outlined in the accord remain unfulfilled, contributing to the current breakdown in relations.
As the situation deteriorates, analysts are weighing in on the potential consequences of a renewed civil war for Ethiopia. The discussion features insights from Faisal Roble, a political analyst specializing in the Horn of Africa; Jervin Naidoo, senior political analyst at Oxford Economics Africa; and Martin Plaut, co-author of ‘Understanding Ethiopia’s Tigray War’. The segment is presented by Per Nyberg.
Four years of peace shattered overnight. It feels like history is repeating itself. How can any hope remain when promises are never kept?
This is deeply troubling. We need to see immediate diplomatic intervention before the region descends into full-scale chaos again.