Republican candidate Mike Rogers faces diminishing odds in his bid for the U.S. Senate in Michigan, according to an assessment released Sunday by Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ). Scott Tranter, DDHQ’s director of data science, stated that Rogers’s window to close the gap with his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, is narrowing significantly.
The forecasting firm’s latest model assigns El-Sayed a 67% probability of victory in the November election. Conversely, Rogers holds a 33% chance of winning, reflecting the challenger’s difficult position as the race approaches its conclusion.
The analysis underscores the growing momentum held by the Democratic candidate in one of the key swing states expected to shape the composition of the Senate following the midterm elections.
Data science models are just guessing with better math. Let’s see what happens when actual votes are counted.
67 percent feels high for a statewide race in Michigan. I hope Rogers can pull off a surprise.