A recent arbitrage opportunity involving a presidential-election bet has drawn attention to the lingering inefficiencies in prediction markets.
The situation, described by traders as an instance of ‘free money,’ underscores how these forecasting platforms can still present gaps for savvy participants to exploit.
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Free money? Hardly. These markets are razor-thin for a reason and liquidity is often a myth.
Wait, if it was really free money, why didn’t everyone grab it instantly? Seems too good to be true.
Prediction markets are supposed to be efficient. This arbitrage window highlights how slow retail traders are reacting.
I tried this last week and the spreads were impossible. Maybe opportunities exist but execution costs eat the profit?