For approximately 1.5 million people across the United Kingdom who live outside the mains gas network, rising temperatures do not bring relief but rather financial anxiety. Unlike regulated gas and electricity markets, the heating oil sector remains unregulated, meaning global price fluctuations are passed directly to consumers. Current geopolitical instability, specifically the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the war in Iran, has severely disrupted supply chains, causing prices to spike.
After remaining relatively stable at around 60 pence per litre until March 2026, costs more than doubled to a peak of 134 pence per litre during the Iran conflict. Although prices dipped slightly in recent months, they have climbed again and currently stand at 111 pence per litre, according to data from Boiler Juice.
In Minety, north Wiltshire, where most households rely on oil, retired resident Peter Mason highlighted the severe impact on fixed incomes. He estimates that topping up his tank for winter will exceed £550, a dramatic increase from the £300 he paid the previous year. Mason noted that while prices fluctuate, the current levels are unprecedented, forcing him to draw from savings and carefully restrict his spending.
The crisis extends beyond domestic users to small business operators. Dylan Williams, who runs a van-driving service in Monmouth, reported paying significantly more for diesel than at any point in his three years in business. His fuel costs have risen from between £120 and £130 per tank at the start of the year to £160 now. Williams stated he has been forced to raise his service prices to cope, noting that fuel cards offer only marginal relief against rising pump prices.
Community support organizations are also feeling the strain. Yvette Farrell of the Dean Forest Kitchen mentioned that the not-for-profit service may need to increase meal prices to survive, as there is little flexibility in their budget. Similarly, Tristan Holland, who directs TLC Support Service, manages care workers who travel across rural areas. Despite a fee increase earlier this year, Holland said rising costs for fuel, uniforms, and training have made operations extremely tight, emphasizing that profitability is essential for the service to continue.
Richard Willan, who operates the Nadder Oil Buying Club in Wiltshire, which helps over 1,000 residents purchase fuel in bulk, warned that rural inhabitants are increasingly vulnerable as winter approaches. He suggested that outcomes from the upcoming US mid-term elections and former president Donald Trump’s potential policies could further influence market dynamics.
The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has called for stronger protections, with chief executive Sarah Cardell advocating for regulatory oversight and enhanced support for consumers in areas exposed to volatile pricing. Meanwhile, Action in Rural Communities England is urging the government to remove VAT on heating oil and LPG for six months in the upcoming budget to prevent thousands from becoming “forgotten victims” of the energy crisis.
In response, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs highlighted a dedicated resilience fund and grants worth up to £9,000 to help eligible households switch from heating oil to cleaner heat sources.
Does removing VAT actually help, or is the real issue that oil suppliers are just price-gouging? I’m skeptical.
I had no idea heating oil prices had more than doubled. This crisis is clearly devastating fixed incomes.
It is utterly unfair that rural residents are left unprotected while city dwellers have regulated gas prices.