Exit polls released after voting concluded in Sweden’s general election on Sunday show a narrow lead for the center-left opposition, as it seeks to reclaim power from the current governing alliance after four years. According to a survey by the Novus polling agency, the left-wing bloc led by former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson captured 51.3% of the vote, compared to 47% for the right-wing bloc headed by incumbent Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
Official results are expected within the coming hours, with roughly half of all votes already cast in advance. Analysts note that while early opinion polls had suggested a comfortable victory for the left, that margin has tightened significantly as election day approached.
Andersson, who became Sweden’s first female prime minister serving from 2021 to 2022, addressed supporters on Saturday, framing the choice as a decision between her leadership or a government dominated by the far-right Sweden Democrats. “We all knew it was going to be a very close election,” she said. “Now it’s up to voters: do they want a government that will be totally dominated by the Sweden Democrats, or do they want a government led by me?”
The stakes are particularly high for the Sweden Democrats, a far-right party that could enter government for the first time if the right-wing bloc secures a win. However, post-election surveys suggest their vote share may decline slightly compared to previous elections. Party leader Jimmie Akesson claimed victory at a Stockholm rally, stating, “Sweden is becoming safer, better, and more Swedish.” He has indicated that Kristersson’s alliance has promised key ministerial roles, including migration minister, in the event of a triumph.
The two competing blocs have presented sharply different policy agendas. The Social Democrats, Sweden’s largest party and a traditional governing force, have campaigned on strengthening the welfare state and tackling rising living costs. In contrast, Kristersson’s campaign has highlighted his government’s efforts to reduce organized violent crime and implement stricter immigration controls. Supporters argue these measures have improved safety, while critics contend they undermine civil liberties and disproportionately target immigrants.
Kristersson defended his record in parliament this week, saying, “We can unify parties, voters and issues into joint action. That’s why we get things done.” Meanwhile, Andersson’s bloc has struggled to maintain the early polling advantage that once seemed insurmountable.
Sweden’s eight million eligible voters face a critical decision in a country of 10.6 million people, where voter turnout historically exceeds 80%. Polling stations closed at 8 p.m. local time (1900 UTC), and final certification of the results is anticipated later on Sunday night.
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