The Cook Political Report upgraded the Alaska gubernatorial contest to a toss-up on Thursday, marking a significant shift from its previous assessment that favored Republican candidates.
Jessica Taylor, the organization’s senate and governors editor, cited recent AARP polling that revealed a tightening race between Democratic former state representative Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and his nearest opponent.
According to the data, Kreiss-Tomkins has secured the support of 40% of respondents. His closest challenger is Bernadette Wilson, a conservative businesswoman and Republican candidate.
Forty percent is barely a plurality. If the top-four system works as intended, this could get messy fast.
Does anyone know how the other candidates are polling? With Alaskan at-large voting, the field might still shift significantly.
Cook Report calls it toss-up, but local voters are notoriously unpredictable. Alaska is always a curveball in national politics.
I had no idea this race was getting so close. Seems like a huge swing for the Democrats!