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Merz Faces Growing Pressure as CDU Polls Plunge Before State Vote

Merz Faces Growing Pressure as CDU Polls Plunge Before State Vote

While attending the European Arctic Summit in Rovaniemi, Finland, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz acknowledged the intense domestic scrutiny he faces but urged colleagues to prioritize urgent pan-European issues over internal political squabbles. The unrest in Berlin stems from a historic low in public approval ratings for the federal government and a severe electoral setback for Merz’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) in Saxony-Anhalt earlier this month.

With another state election scheduled for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania on September 20, anxiety within the governing coalition is mounting. In Saxony-Anhalt, the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party secured victory. The AfD has been classified as a confirmed right-wing extremist organization by domestic intelligence officials in that region. Meanwhile, the CDU is polling at a dismal 7% in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, raising fears that the party may fail to clear the 5% threshold required to enter the state parliament. Such an outcome would mark the worst result ever recorded by the CDU in a state election.

Before taking office in May 2025, Merz had pledged to halve support for the AfD. Instead, his own party’s popularity has been cut in half. Critics within and outside the party point to Merz’s confrontational communication style and his perceived lack of empathy as contributing factors. Education Minister Karin Prien recently told broadcaster ARD that many citizens feel the chancellor and the CDU/CSU leadership lack sufficient compassion, a quality she argued must improve.

Commentators have also cited Merz’s impatience regarding controversial reforms, particularly changes to the state pension system. In July, the chancellor faced backlash from trade unions after suggesting that public attitudes toward work-life balance and a four-day workweek could threaten national prosperity. Union representatives were outraged by what they viewed as accusations that Germans were lazy.

Coalition tensions are visible among the Social Democrats (SPD), the CDU’s junior partners. SPD Parliamentary Secretary Dirk Wiese stated on Welt TV that nerves are frayed within the CDU and called on the governing partner to refocus on collaborative governance.

Despite the criticism, no clear successor has emerged to challenge Merz. Markus Söder, the leader of the Bavarian Christian Social Union (CSU), is occasionally mentioned as a candidate but lacks broad support within the CDU due to his provocative nature. Another potential figure, Hendrik Wüst, the premier of North Rhine-Westphalia, has not expressed interest in moving to Berlin and plans to seek re-election in his home state next April.

Constitutionally, removing a sitting chancellor without voluntary resignation requires a

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